外商直接投资在中国区域一级的决定因素分析【外文翻译】.doc

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1、原文DETERMINANTSOFFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTATTHEREGIONALLEVELINCHINAASTHEWORLDSMOSTPOPULATEDCOUNTRY,CHINAHASATTRACTEDAGREATDEALOFATTENTIONFROMAWIDERANGECOMPANIESSEEKINGTOLEVERAGETHELOWRELATIVECOSTOFEMPLOYINGACHINESEWORKFORCE,ORTOGAINACCESSTOTHEGROWINGCHINESEMIDDLEANDUPPERCLASSESFROMTHEINVESTORSPOINTOFVI

2、EW,PICKINGTHERIGHTLOCATIONTHATPROVIDESACOMPETITIVEADVANTAGEISCRITICALTODEVELOPINGASUSTAINABLEBUSINESSMODELTHELOCATIONHEORSHEWOULDCHOOSEASTHEDESTINATIONOFFDIMUSTULTIMATELYBEMOREPROFITABLETOINVESTINTHANINOTHERSCOUGHLINETAL,1991CHOOSINGTHERIGHTLOCATIONOFTENINVOLVESMANYDIFFERENTFACTORSHYMER1960FOUNDTHAT

3、AMERICANFDIWASMAINLYCONCENTRATEDINAFEWINDUSTRIESANDMONOPOLIZEDBYSEVERALCOMPANIESMULTINATIONALCOMPANIESMNCSWERETHEPRODUCTOFIMPERFECTMARKETSANDMONOPOLYADVANTAGESWHERETHECOMPANIESHADTHEADVANTAGEWITHREGARDSTOCHOOSINGWHERETOINVESTANUMBEROFCONCLUSIONSCANBEDRAWNFROMHYMERSANALYSISTHATHELPSFRAMEUPTHISSTUDYFI

4、RST,FDITENDSTOFLOWINTODIFFERENTIATEDMARKETSWHEREAMNCBELIEVESTHEYWILLHAVEANADVANTAGECOMPETITIVELYSECOND,COMPANIESTHATAREABLETOMAKEINVESTMENTSOVERSEASALLHAVECERTAINADVANTAGES,SUCHASECONOMIESOFSCALE,DIFFERENTIATEDPRODUCTS,SPECIALSKILLS,ANDLOWCOSTPRODUCTIONTHESECOMPANIESWILLMAKEINVESTMENTSINREGIONSTHATD

5、ONOTHAVETHESEADVANTAGESTHIRD,THEREAREMANYWAYSINWHICHMNCSCANINVESTOVERSEASINSUCHASEXPORTING,ANDLICENSING,INADDITIONTODIRECTINVESTMENTMNCSWITHOUTLOCALPARTNERSALWAYSPREFERTOCHOOSEFOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTLASTBUTNOTTHELEASTHYMERFOUNDTHATABOUTHALFOFTHEOVERSEASOPERATINGCAPITALOFAMERICANFIRMSCAMEFROMHOSTCOUN

6、TRIESTHUSFDITENDSTOFLOWINTOTHECOUNTRIESORREGIONSTHATHAVEDEVELOPEDFINANCIALSYSTEMSANDCAPITALMARKETSTHECASEFORCHINAASAHOSTFORFDIHASINCREASEDSUBSTANTIALLYSINCEHYMERFIRSTPUBLISHEDHISTHOUGHTSIN1960CHINAASASOURCEOFLOWCOSTLABOR,ANDWITHANATTRACTIVE,RAPIDLYGROWINGDOMESTICMARKETREPRESENTSGROWTHFORMANYCOMPANIE

7、STHEFACTTHATTHECOASTALREGIONSESPECIALLYTHOSEINCLOSEPROXIMITYTOHONGKONG,ANDWITHHISTORICTIESTOTHEWESTANDTAIWANALSOHAVESOPHISTICATEDFINANCIALSYSTEMSANDCAPITALMARKETSSUPPORTSHYMERSCONCLUSIONSFIGURE1OTHERFACTORSMAYALSOCONTRIBUTETOTHEEMERGENCEOFCHINAASALEADINGHOSTFORFDIINTHE1970SANDEARLY1980S,BUCKLEYANDCA

8、SSON1976ANDRUGMAN1981PUTFORWARDTHECONCEPTOFINTERNALIZATIONINTERNALIZATION2MEANSTHEPROCESSOFESTABLISHINGAMARKETINSIDETHECOMPANYANDSUBSTITUTINGTHEINTERNALMARKETFORANEXTERNALMARKETTHETRANSFERPRICEINSIDETHECOMPANYENABLESTHEINTERNALMARKETTOOPERATEASEFFECTIVELYASTHEEXTERNALMARKETTHETHEORYHOLDSTHEOPINIONTH

9、ATTHEIMPERFECTIONOFEXTERNALMARKETSCOMPELSTHECOMPANYTOEXCHANGECERTAINPRODUCTSINSIDETHECOMPANYWHENTHISHAPPENSACROSSNATIONALBOUNDARIES,ITACTSASFDIOFMNCSCOUNTRIESTHATBRINGABOUTTHEIMPERFECTIONSINTHEEXTERNALMARKETSSUCHASHIGHTARIFFOFNONTARIFFBARRIERSAREWHEREFDITENDSTOFLOWTHETRENDTOWARDCOLLABORATIONTHROUGHJ

10、OINTVENTURES,PARTNERSHIPS,ANDOTHERFORMSOFCOLLABORATIVERELATIONSHIPSMAYSUGGESTTHATCOMPANIESAREATTEMPTINGTOCREATE“INTERNALMARKETS”WITHASELECTGROUPOFCOMPANIESTHECENTRALANDREGIONALGOVERNMENTSTHROUGHTHEDEGREEOFOPENNESSIEFOREIGN,PRIVATEOWNERSHIPOFSTATEOWNEDENTERPRISESMAYBESIGNIFICANTLYRESPONSIBLEFORTHECRE

11、ATIONOFTHESE“INTERNALMARKETS”WHILELOWCOST,ACCESSTOTHEDOMESTICMARKETS,ANDTHECREATIONOFINTERNALMARKETSTHATSIMPLIFYTHETRANSFEROFFDIAREOFTENCOMPELLINGFROMACOUNTRYPOINTOFVIEWFROMAREGIONALPERSPECTIVE,SELECTINGTHERIGHTLOCATIONCANBEASIGNIFICANTCHALLENGEDUNNING1977ASSUMEDTHATTOMAKEAFDI,COMPANIESSHOULDHAVETHR

12、EEADVANTAGESANOWNERSHIPADVANTAGEALOCATIONADVANTAGEANDANINTERNALIZATIONADVANTAGEINFLUENCEDBYINDUSTRYLOCATIONTHEORY,DUNNINGDETERMINEDTHEDEFINITIONOFLOCATIONADVANTAGEASTHEADVANTAGEONELOCATIONHADOVERANOTHERBASEDUPONNATURALANDHUMANRESOURCESTHEPRICE,QUALITYANDPRODUCTIVITYOFINPUTSINTERNATIONALTRANSPORTATIO

13、NANDCOMMUNICATIONCOSTINVESTMENTFAVORORDISCRIMINATIONMANMADEBARRIERSTOTRADEFUNDAMENTALFACILITIESCROSSNATIONALVALUES,LANGUAGE,CULTURE,COMMERCIALPRACTICEANDPOLITICSRESEARCHANDDEVELOPMENTTHECONCENTRATIONOFPRODUCTIONANDSALESECONOMICSYSTEMANDPOLITICALSTRATEGYRESOURCEALLOCATIONSYSTEMPP395418THELOCATIONADVA

14、NTAGEOREDGETHEORYISRELEVANTTOTHISSTUDYASITHOLDSTHEOPINIONTHATTHEREASONWHYANINTERNATIONALCOMPANYMAKESDIRECTINVESTMENTSINAPARTICULARREGIONISTHATTHECOMPANYWOULDLIKETOATTAINCERTAINLOCATIONADVANTAGESWHICHDONOTEXISTINOTHERHOSTCOUNTRIESVARIOUSSTUDIESTABLEIHAVEHIGHLIGHTEDTHEFACTORSTHATINVESTORSCAREABOUTINCL

15、UDINGLABORCOST,MARKETSIZEANDMARKETPOTENTIAL,TRADEBARRIERSANDCOUNTRYRISKSTHOSEHOSTCOUNTRIESWITHLOWERLABORCOST,LOWERTRANSPORTCOST,GREATERMARKETPOTENTIAL,TRADEPROTECTIONISM,SMALLERCOUNTRYRISK,BETTERINFRASTRUCTUREANDBETTEREDUCATEDANDSKILLEDPOPULATIONSARETYPICALLYTHEFOCUSOFFDIACCORDINGTOTRADITIONALLOCATI

16、ONTHEORY,INVESTMENTINCENTIVESCANBEMAINLYDIVIDEDINTOTWOTYPESFIRST,THOSETARGETEDATCOSTSAVINGS,WHICHPURSUEAPRODUCTIONCOSTEDGEINHOSTCOUNTRIESWHEREFDIISMAINLYFOCUSEDONPRODUCINGLOCALLYANDTHENEXPORTINGANDSECOND,FORTHOSECOMPANIESWHOAIMTOEXPANDTHEIRMARKETPRESENCETHROUGHINCREASINGTHEIRPENETRATIONIN“LOCAL”MARK

17、ETSFDIMAINLYFOCUSESONLOCALPRODUCTIONANDLOCALSALEASOPPOSEDTOEXPORTING,SOTHISKINDOFFDIPLACESAHIGHEMPHASISONMARKETSIZE,MARKETGROWTH,ANDCONSUMPTIONABILITYEMPIRICALWORKSLOCALMARKETSAREOFTENCONSIDEREDBYCOUNTRYORBYREGIONTHEREISAVASTAMOUNTOFEXISTINGLITERATUREFOCUSEDONTHEGEOGRAPHICALDISTRIBUTIONOFFDITABLEIIN

18、UMEROUSSTUDIESHAVEBEENDONETHATIDENTIFYTHEDETERMINANTSOFFDIFORREGIONS,COUNTRIES,REGIONSWITHINCOUNTRIES,ASWELLASFDIFLOWSBETWEENCOUNTRIESWHILETHEREISNOTNECESSARILYASINGLESETOFFACTORSTHATCONSISTENTLYDETERMINEFDI,INFRASTRUCTURE,SKILLEDLABOR,LABORCOST/WAGE,AGGLOMERATION,ANDGOVERNMENTSUPPORTINTERMSOFOPENNE

19、SS,AND/ORATTEMPTSATATTRACTINGFDIAREOFTENCITEDASHAVINGASIGNIFICANTRELATIONSHIPBETWEENFDIANDTHELOCATIONCHOICEANDWHILEREGIONSTHATRECEIVESUBSTANTIALFDIMAYBENEFIT,ITISULTIMATELYTHELINKAGESBETWEENEDUCATION,GOVERNMENT,ANDINDUSTRYTHATPERPETUATETHEDEVELOPMENTOFNEWACTIVITIESINTHEREGION,LEADINGTOINNOVATION,AND

20、FURTHERINVESTMENTPORTERANDSTERN,2001WITHTHEFASTDEVELOPMENTOFITSECONOMY,CHINAHASBEENOFCRUCIALIMPORTANCETOFDI,THUSTHESTUDYOFINVESTMENTSINCHINAHASBEENGROWINGTABLEIIIWANGANDSWAIN1995EXAMINETHEDETERMINANTSOFFDIINCHINA,FINDINGTHATFDIINTHEMANUFACTURINGSECTORISPOSITIVELYRELATEDTOCHINASGDP,GDPGROWTH,WAGES,AN

21、DTRADEBARRIERS,BUTNEGATIVELYRELATEDTOINTERESTRATEANDEXCHANGERATEBHAGWATIANDSRINIVASAN1983CONDUCTEDASURVEYTORANKPROVINCESOFCHINAWITHTHEBESTINVESTMENTENVIRONMENTTHEYIDENTIFIEDANUMBEROFVARIABLESMARKETSIZEWAGE,EDUCATION,EXTENTOFINDUSTRIALIZATION,INFRASTRUCTURETRANSPORTFACILITIES,COMMUNICATIONFACILITIES,

22、LIVINGENVIRONMENT,ANDTHELEVELOFSCIENTIFICRESEARCHCHEN1996DIVIDEDCHINAINTOEAST,CENTRALANDWESTREGIONS,ANDFOUNDTHATWAGEHASNORELATIONWITHSPATIALDISTRIBUTIONOFFDIBUT,THATMARKETSIZEHASTHEMOSTINFLUENCEONTHECENTRALAREAWEI1999FOUNDTHATBRIBERYANDOTHERDISHONESTBEHAVIORSOFGOVERNORSINFLUENCEDTHEINFLOWOFFDILUMING

23、HONG2000IDENTIFIEDSOMEADDITIONALDETERMINANTSBESIDESGENERALECONOMICFACTORSSUCHASANINFRASTRUCTUREFACTORWITHENERGYCONSUMPTIONASPROXYLABORQUALITYWITHTHELITERACYPERCENTAGEASPROXYANDASYSTEMFACTORWITHHONESTGOVERNMENTANDDEGREEOFOPENNESSASPROXYBHAGWATIANDSRINIVASAN1983,ANDSUNETAL2002FOUNDACORRELATIONBETWEENI

24、NVESTMENTINSCIENTIFICRESEARCHANDFDIFLOWSTONGANDYUETING2000CONSIDEREDTHEHOMETOWNCONNECTIONSOFOVERSEASCHINESEINVESTORSASADETERMINANTOFFDIFLOWINTOCHINA,NOTINGTHATTAIWANESEINVESTORSHAVEOFTENINVESTEDTHROUGHHONGKONGTOLIMITDELAYSDUETOGOVERNMENTANDBUREAUCRACYSUNETAL2002,P88IDENTIFIEDPOSSIBLEDETERMINANTSOFFD

25、IFLOWWITHINCHINAINCLUDINGMARKETDEMANDANDSIZE,AGGLOMERATION,LABORQUALITY,LABORCOST,LEVELOFSCIENTIFICRESEARCH,DEGREEOFOPENNESS,COUNTRYRISKEMPIRICALFRAMEWORKTHELOCATIONOFFDIINCHINAHASSTRIKINGSPATIALCHARACTERISTICSTHEPROVINCESINCHINAARECLASSIFIEDINTOTHREEREGIONSEASTERN,CENTRAL,ANDWESTERNFDIISUNEVENLYDIS

26、TRIBUTEDACROSSTHETHREETABLEIVSHOWSTHATIN2002,THEEASTERNREGIONRECEIVEDMORETHAN86PERCENTOFTHETOTALFDIAMOUNTWHILETHECENTRALANDWESTERNREGIONSTOGETHERRECEIVEDLESSTHAN14PERCENTTHISISCONSISTENTWITHPASTTRENDSFORFDIINCHINAANDHASBEENCITEDASONEOFTHEREASONSTHATHAVELEDTOTHEFASTDEVELOPMENTOFTHECOASTALPROVINCESAND

27、THEWIDENINGGAPINTERMSOFECONOMICDEVELOPMENTBETWEENTHECOASTALANDINLANDPROVINCESCHENGANDZHANG,1998MOREOVER,THEFDIFLOWINTOEASTERNCHINAHASCONTINUEDTOINCREASEFROM2001,THEAMOUNTOFFDIINTHEEASTERNREGIONSHASINCREASEDBY119PERCENTWHILEINTHECENTRALREGIONS,FDIHASONLYRISENBY02PERCENTINTHEWESTERNREGIONS,FDIACTUALLY

28、DECREASEDBY139PERCENTLU,2003DFROMTHESEFIGURESITISCLEARTHATTHELOCATIONOFFDIINCHINAISCHARACTERIZEDBYENORMOUSSPATIALDIVERSITYTHEREAREOTHERTWOMAINCHARACTERISTICSOFCHINASFDIPATTERN,WHICHMAYHAVESOMECERTAINLINKSWITHTHESPATIALPATTERNTABLEIVSHOWSTHATINVESTMENTACTIVITYTENDSTOCONCENTRATEONSECONDARYINDUSTRIESLI

29、KEUTILITIES,MANUFACTURING,ANDPROPERTYDEVELOPMENT,WHILETHEPRIMARYSECTORATTRACTSONLYABOUTONEFOURTHOFTHETOTALFDITABLEIVALSOSHOWSTHATFOREIGNCAPITALFLOWSMAINLYFROMASIANCOUNTRIES,WITHMORETHAN60PERCENTOFTHETOTALFOREIGNCAPITALCOMESFROMHONGKONG,TAIWAN,JAPAN,KOREANANDOTHERSOUTHEASTASIANCOUNTRIESINTERMSOFTHETO

30、TALACCUMULATIVEAMOUNTOFFOREIGNCAPITALTHATTHECOUNTRYORAREAACTUALLYUSED100MILLION,THETOPFOURSOURCESOFFDIWEREHONGKONG2,04875MN,THEUSA39889MN,JAPAN36340MN,ANDTAIWANPROVINCE33110MNLU,2003DTHESEFOURSOURCESOFFDICONTRIBUTEMORETHANTWOTHIRDSOFTOTALFDIHOWEVER,HONGKONGSSHAREOFFDIFAREXCEEDSTHOSEOFOTHERCOUNTRIESA

31、NDREGIONSFIGURE2PARTOFTHISMAYBEEXPLAINEDTOTHEPASSTHROUGHINVESTMENTSMADEBYINVESTORSFROMTAIWANANDOTHERCOUNTRIESTOEASETHEFLOWOFCAPITALATTHEREGIONALLEVEL,THEDATASHOWSTHATDISTRIBUTIONOFFDIACROSSCHINASREGIONSISVERYUNEVENIN2002,THETOPFOURAREASAREGUANGDONG,JIANGSU,SHANDONG,ANDSHANGHAI,WHICHACCOUNTEDFOR5928P

32、ERCENTOFTHETOTALFDIFIGURE3LU,2003A,B,CTHEREASONSFORFDIBYREGIONAREASSTATEDPREVIOUSLYVARIEDINTHEEASTERNREGIONS,ITHASBEENARGUEDTHATPROXIMITY,HISTORY,CULTURE,ANDLANGUAGEALLPLAYASIGNIFICANTROLEINDETERMININGFDIOTHERSTABLEIIIHAVEFOUNDAWIDERANGEOFOTHERSIGNIFICANTDETERMINANTSOFFDIFROMTHESEPASTANALYSESOFPOTEN

33、TIALDETERMINANTSOFFDIINCHINA,FIVEWERECHOSENTODETERMINEIFTHEREWASANYSIGNIFICANTRELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEMANDFDIACROSSTHEREGIONSWITHINCHINATABLEVTABLEVIREVEALSTHEDISTRIBUTIONSOFFDIACCORDINGTOTHESEDETERMINANTSTABLEVIITHEFIRSTDETERMINANTISTHEMARKETSIZEGDPITDIRECTLYAFFECTSTHEEXPECTEDREVENUEOFTHEINVESTMENTIN

34、FACT,ONEMAJORMOTIVATIONFORFDIISTOLOOKFORNEWMARKETSSHAPIRO,1998THELARGERTHEMARKETSIZEOFAPARTICULARREGION,THEMOREFDITHEREGIONSHOULDATTRACTGIVENOTHERTHINGSREMAINCONSTANTKRAVISANDLIPESEY1982,BLOMSTROMANDLIPSEY1991ANDOTHERSHAVEIDENTIFIEDMARKETSIZEASHAVINGAPOSITIVEIMPACTONFDIWEUSEGDPPERCAPITAFORDEMANDANDS

35、IZEEFFECTTHESECONDDETERMINANTISAGGLOMERATIONROADWHICHREFERSTOTHECONCENTRATIONOFECONOMICACTIVITIESTHATLEADSTOPOSITIVEEXTERNALITIESANDTHEECONOMIESOFSCALECOUGHLINETAL1991,WHEELERANDMODY1992ANDBRAUNERHJELMANDSVENSSON1996AMONGSTOTHERSFOUNDTHATTHELEVELOFAGGLOMERATIONWASPOSITIVELYRELATEDTOTHEFDIINAPARTICUL

36、ARCOUNTRYTHISSTUDYUSESINFRASTRUCTUREQUALITYTOCAPTURETHEAGGLOMERATIONBENEFITSTHEHIGHWAYANDRAILWAYMILEAGEPERSQUAREKILOMETERISPROXYFORTHEQUALITYOFINFRASTRUCTURETHETHIRDDETERMINANTISLABORQUALITYSCHNTHISSTUDYUSEDTHETOTALNUMBEROFTHEPRIMARY,ANDSECONDARYSCHOOLS,ASWELLASUNIVERSITIESASAPROXYFOREDUCATIONANDFUR

37、THERFORLABORQUALITYMODYANDSRINIVASAN1998,LUMINGHONG2000ANDAKINLO2004,ALLFOUNDTHATLABORQUALITYHASAPOSITIVEIMPACTONFDITHEFOURTHDETERMINANTISLABORCOSTWAGE,ASMEASUREDBYWAGEBHAGWATIANDSRINIVASAN1983,COUGHLINETAL1991,WANGANDSWAIN1995ALLFOUNDARELATIONSHIPBETWEENWAGEORLABORCOST,ANDFDIHOWEVER,LABORCOSTMAYHAV

38、EANEGATIVECORRELATIONMULTINATIONALFIRMSINCHINATENDTOHIREQUALITYWORKERSWHOEARNHIGHERWAGESASAPOSSIBLEREFLECTIONOFTHISHIGHERLABORQUALITYHENCE,WAGESINTHOSEPROVINCESTHATATTRACTMOREFDIMAYBEHIGHERTHEFIFTHDETERMINANTISTHEDEGREEOFOPENNESSANDPROGRESSOFREFORMSHARESUNETAL2002ANDFUJITAANDHU2001FOUNDTHATASIGNIFIC

39、ANTRELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEDEGREEOFOPENNESSASDEFINEDBYTHEPERCENTAGEOFSTATESOWNEDENTERPRISESSOESANDFDIONTHEONEHAND,AMOREOPENECONOMYMEANSTHATFOREIGNINVESTORSAREMOREFAMILIARWITHTHEHOSTECONOMYANDMAYTHEREFOREBEMOREWILLINGTOINVESTINTHECOUNTRYONTHEOTHERHAND,OPENNESSCANHAVEANEGATIVEIMPACTONFDIASITMAYATTRACTMO

40、RECOMPETITION,LESSENINGANYCOMPETITIVEADVANTAGEAFIRMMAYHAVEHOPEDTOREALIZEWEUSETHESHAREOFSTATEOWNEDENTERPRISESINALLENTERPRISESOFAREGIONTOMEASUREITSDEGREEOFOPENNESSANDPROGRESSOFREFORMASNOTEDPREVIOUSLY,THEREAREMANYOTHERCOMMONLYUSEDDETERMINANTSTHATMAYHAVEACORRELATIONWITHFDIINCHINADETERMINANTSLIKETHENUMBE

41、ROFTELEPHONESETS,NUMBEROFTOURISTS,LEVELOFSCIENTIFICRESEARCH,DEGREEOFINDUSTRIALIZATION,AGGLOMERATIONOFFDI,PROMOTIONEXPENDITURESFORATTRACTINGFDI,TAXSTRUCTURE,ANDTHESPECIALTREATMENTOFFEREDTOFOREIGNINVESTORSTHATMAYHAVEIMPACTS,TOOHOWEVER,SUCHDATAISMOREDIFFICULTTOOBTAINONAREGIONALORPROVINCIALLEVELINCHINA,

42、WHICHLEDTOTHEFOCUSONTHEFIVEAFOREMENTIONEDDETERMINANTSTHETYPICALMETHODOFESTIMATINGTHEEFFECTOFPOTENTIALDETERMINANTSOFFDIISTOREGRESSTHECHOSENDEPENDENTVARIABLE,SUCHASTHEAMOUNTOFFDIINALOCATION,ONASETOFINDEPENDENTVARIABLESWHICHWOULDPOSSIBLYAFFECTTHEPROFITABILITYOFINVESTMENTTHESEVARIABLESTYPICALLYREFLECTLO

43、CALMARKETPOTENTIAL,ANDTHECOSTOFPRODUCTIONANDTRANSPORT,ASWELLASTHEGENERALENVIRONMENTFACEDBYTHEMULTINATIONALCOMPANYONTHEBASISOFTHEEXISTINGSTATISTICALANALYSESOFTHELOCATIONOFFDIINCHINA,WEPOSTULATETHATFORTHEAMOUNTOFFDIINREGIONIEQUATION1WHEREGDP,ROAD,SCHN,WAGE,ANDSHAREREPRESENTTHEVARIABLESFORMARKETSIZEAND

44、DEMAND,AGGLOMERATION/INFRASTRUCTURE,LABORQUALITY,WAGE,DEGREEOFOPENNESSANDPROGRESSOFREFORM,RESPECTIVELYSINCE,OURDEPENDENTVARIABLEISTHEPERCAPITAAMOUNTOFFDI,WEUSEPERCAPITAGDPTOCAPTURETHEREGIONALMARKETPOTENTIALORMARKETSIZEINORDERTOEXPERIMENTWITHANAPPROPRIATECHOICEOFTHEINFRASTRUCTUREVARIABLEROAD,THREEALT

45、ERNATIVEPROXIESWERETESTEDTHETOTALLENGTHSOFROADSPERUNITOFLANDMASSTHETOTALLENGTHSOFHIGHGRADEPAVEDROADSPERUNITOFLANDMASSANDTHETOTALLENGTHSOFRAILWAYPERUNITOFLANDMASSAREGIONSLABORCOSTWAGEISGIVENBYITSAVERAGELABORCOSTDIVIDEDBYITSRETAILPRICEINDEXOUREDUCATIONVARIABLESCHNISTHETOTALNUMBEROFPRIMARY,SECONDARYSCH

46、OOLS,ANDUNIVERSITIESFORAGIVENREGIONALLREALVARIABLESAREMEASUREDINCURRENTPRICESINOURSAMPLE,AREGIONISEITHERAPROVINCE,CENTRALLYADMINISTEREDMUNICIPALITY,ORANAUTONOMOUSREGIONASTHEDETERMINANTSOFFDIDISTRIBUTIONWEREEXAMINEDACROSSREGIONSREGARDLESSOFTIMETRENDSANDWITHKNOWNDATALIMITATIONS,THISASSIGNMENTONLYREQUI

47、RESORDINARYLEASTSQUARESOLSESTIMATIONTHEDATAUSEDINTHISSTUDYAREOBTAINEDFROMCHINASSTATISTICALYEARBOOK2003,THECHINASTATISTICALYEARBOOKFORREGIONALECONOMY2003,THECHINAFOREIGNECONOMICSTATISTICALYEARBOOK2003,ANDTHEWHITEBOOKSOFCHINASTRADEANDECONOMICS2003FORTHISSTUDY,TWOELEMENTSOFFDIWEREUSED“SIGNEDAGREEMENT”A

48、ND“ACTUALLYUTILIZED”THELATERONEISTHEACTUALAMOUNTOFFDIINVESTEDINTHEREGIONSINCE,GDPANDWAGEAREDENOMINATEDINRMBANDTHEFDIINUSDOLLARS,WECONVERTEDTHEFDIINTORMBUSINGTHEAVERAGEYEARLYEXCHANGERATEIN2002ITISPOSSIBLETHATAHIGHCORRELATIONBETWEENTHEVARIOUSPROXIESMAYCOMEOUTANDTHATTHEPROXIESMAYOVERLAPWITHONEANOTHER,W

49、HICHMAYLEADTOSERIOUSMULTICOLLINEARITYINORDERTOCOPEWITHMULTICOLLINEARITY,THOSEHIGHLYCORRELATEDPAIRSWEREEXCLUDEDSPECIFICALLY,ALLVARIABLESWERETRANSFORMEDINTOTHENATURALLOGARITHMFORMANDWERETHENSTACKEDUPACROSSTHE30REGIONSINSUMMARY,FOREIGNDIRECTINVESTMENTATTHEREGIONALLEVELINCHINAWASEXPECTEDTOBEAFFECTEDBYTHEREGIONSMARKETDEMANDANDMARKETSIZEGDP,INFRASTRUCTUREROAD,LABORQUALITYSCHN,LABORCOSTWAGE,ANDTHEDEGREEOFOPENNESSANDPROGRESSOFREFORMSHAREAGENERALPOOLEDREGRESSIONMODELISUSEDONTHESEVARIABLESANDISSPECIFIEDASEQUATION2WHERESUBSCRIPTIREFERSTOINDIVIDUALPROVINCESIISTHEI

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