1、原文FOUNDATIONSOFECONOMICVALUEADDEDTHEEVAREVOLUTIONINAMARKETDRIVENECONOMYMANYCOMPANIESWILLCREATEWEALTHOTHERFIRMSHOWEVERWILLUNDOUBTEDLYDESTROYITDISCOVERINGTHOSEECONOMICFACTORSTHATLEADTOWEALTHCREATIONANDDESTRUCTIONAMONGCOMPANIESISIMPORTANTTOMANYCONSTITUENCIES,NOTTHELEASTOFWHICHISCORPORATEOFFICIALSANDINV
2、ESTMENTMANAGERSFORCORPORATEMANAGERS,WEALTHCREATIONISFUNDAMENTALTOTHEECONOMICSURVIVALOFTHEFIRMMANAGERSTHATFAILORREFUSETOSEETHEIMPORTANCEOFTHISIMPERATIVEINANOPENECONOMYDOSOATTHEPERILOFTHEORGANIZATIONANDTHEIRCAREERFINDINGTHEBESTCOMPANIESANDINDUSTRIESINMARKETPLACEISOFPRIMARYIMPORTANCETOINVESTMENTMANAGER
3、SWITHTHEPROPERFINANCIALTOOLS,PORTFOLIOMANAGERSMAYBEABLETOENHANCETHEIRACTIVEPERFORMANCEOVERANDABOVETHERETURNSAVAILABLEONSIMILARRISKINDEXEDPASSIVESTRATEGIESANEWANALYTICALTOOLCALLEDEVAISNOWASSISTINGTHISWEALTHDISCOVERYANDCOMPANYSELECTIONPROCESSTHEINNOVATIVECHANGESTHATTHISFINANCIALMETRICHAVESPAWNEDINTHET
4、WINAREASOFCORPORATEFINANCEANDINVESTMENTMANAGEMENTISTHEDRIVINGFORCEBEHINDWHATCANBEFORMERLYCALLEDTHEEVAREVOLUTIONEVAINPRACTICETHEANALYTICALTOOLCALLEDEVA,FORECONOMICVALUEADDED,WASCOMMERCIALLYDEVELOPEDIN1982BYTHECORPORATEADVISORYTEAMOFJOELSTERNANDGBENNETTSTEWARTTHISFINANCIALMETICGAINEDEARLYACCEPTANCEFRO
5、MTHECORPORATECOMMUNITYBECAUSEOFITSINNOVATIVEWAYOFLOOKINGATTHEFIRMSREALPROFITABILITY,UNLIKETRADITIONALMEASURESOFPROFITSUCHASEBIT,EBITDA,ANDNETOPERATINGINCOMEEVALOOKSATTHEFIRMSRESIDUALPROFITABILITY,NETOFBOTHTHEDIRECTCOSTOFDEBTCAPITALANDTHEINDIRECTCOSTOFEQUITYCAPITALINTHISWAY,EVASERVESASAMODERNDAYMEASU
6、REOFCORPORATESUCCESSBECAUSEITISCLOSELYALIGNEDWITHTHESHAREHOLDERWEALTHMAXIMIZATIONREQUIREMENTLARGEFIRMSLIKECOCACOCA,DIAGEA,LILLYELI,GUIDANT,ANDSPXHAVEUSEDEVAASAGUIDETOCREATINGECONOMICVALUEFORTHEIRSHAREHOLDERSBONUSESANDINCENTIVEPAYSCHEMESATTHESEFIRMSHAVEBEENBUILTAROUNDTHEMANAGERSABILITYORLACKTHEREOFTO
7、GENERATEPOSITIVEEVAWITHINTHEFIRMSOPERATINGDIVISIONSPOSITIVEPAYMENTSACCRUETOMANAGERSHAVINGDIVISIONALOPERATINGPROFITSTHATONBALANCEEXCEEDTHERELEVANTCOSTOFCAPITAL,WHILENEGATIVEINCENTIVEPAYMENTSMAYOCCURIFTHELARGERTERMDIVISIONALOPERATINGPROFITSFALLSHORTOFTHEOVERALLCAPITALCOSTSTHUS,BYAACCOUNTINGFORBOTHTHEC
8、OSTOFDEBTANDEQUITYCAPITAL,EVAGIVESMANAGERSTHEINCENTIVETOACTLIKESHAREHOLDERSWHENMAKINGCORPORATEINVESTMENTDECISIONSEVAISALSOGAININGPOPULARITYINTHEINVESTMENTCOMMUNITYTHEJUNE1996CONFERENCEONECONOMICVALUEADDEDATCSFIRSTBOSTONANDTHEROLLOUTOFGOLDMANSACHSEVARESEARCHPLATFORMINMAY1997ISTESTIMONYTOTHISEXCITINGD
9、EVELOPMENTINDEED,BUYSIDEINVESTMENTFIRMSLIKEGLOBALASSETMANAGEMENTANDOPPENHEIMERCAPITALUSEEVAINTHEIRSTOCKSELECTION,PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION,ANDRISKCONTROLPROCESSESOTHERLARGEINVESTMENTFIRMSARETAKINGASERIOUSLOOK,ANDEVAISALSOMAKINGMEANINGFULINROADSINWORLDOFGLOBALPERFORMANCEANALYTICSMOREOVER,RECENTEMPIRICALS
10、TUDIESINTHEJOURNALPORTFOLIOMANAGEMENTAMONGOTHERFINANCEANDINVESTMENTJOURNALSSHOWSTHATEVAISBEINGADVANCEDINBOTHTHEACADEMICANDFINANCIALCOMMUNITIESEVOLUTIONOFEVATHEEVOLUTIONOFECONOMICPROFITECONOMICVALUEADDEDEVAISAFASCINATINGSTUDYWITHHISTORICALROOTSTHATCANBETRACEDBACKTOTHECLASSICALECONOMISTSNOTIONOFRESIDU
11、ALINCOMEFORINSTANCE,CONSIDERTHEDEFINITIONOFECONOMICPROFITMADEIN1890BYFAMOUSBRITISHECONOMIST,ALFREDMARSHALL,REGRADINGTHEREALMEANINGOFABUSINESSOWNERSPROFITWHATREMAINSOFHISPROFITSAFTERDEDUCTINGINTERESTONHISCAPITALATTHECURRENTRATEMAYBECALLEDHISEARNINGSOFUNDERTAKINGORMANAGEMENTBASEDONMARSHALLSSTATEMENT,I
12、TISEVIDENTTHATTHEECONOMISTSDEFINITIONOFPROFITNAMELY,ARESIDUALVIEWOFINCOMEORECONOMICPROFITISRADICALLYDIFFERENTFROMTHEACCOUNTINGMEASURESOFPROFITINUSETODAY,SUCHASEBIT,EBITDA,ORNETOPERATINGINCOMETHISIS,AKEYDISTINCTIONBETWEENECONOMICPROFITANDACCOUNTINGPROFITLIESINTHECLASSICALECONOMISTSNOTIONTHATACOMPANYI
13、SNOTTRULYPROFITABLEUNLESSITSREVENUEHAVECOVEREDTHEUSUALPRODUCTIONANDOPERATINGEXPENSESOFRUNNINGABUSINESS,ANDPROVIDEDANORMALRETURNONTHEOWNERSINVESTEDCAPITALINAMOREFUNDAMENTALSENSE,THISRESIDUALVIEWOFINCOMEISREALLYWHATTODAYSECONOMICPROFITMOVEMENTISREALLYALLABOUTWHILEEVAISROOTEDINCLASSICALECONOMICTHEORY,T
14、HREEPIONEERING20THCENTURYAMERICANECONOMISTSIRVINGFISHERDURINGTHE1930S,ANDNOBELLAUREATESFRANCOMODIGLIANIANDMERTONMILLERINTHELATE1950STOEARLY1960SEXPANDEDUPONTHEFULLERMEANINGOFECONOMICPROFITINACORPORATEVALUATIONCONTEXTIRVINGFISHERESTABLISHEDAFUNDAMENTALLINKBETWEENACOMPANYSNETPRESENTVALUENPVANDITSDISCO
15、UNTEDSTREAMOFEXPECTEDCASHFLOWSINTURN,MODIGLIANIANDMILLERSHOWEDTHATCORPORATEINVESTMENTDECISIONSASMANIFESTINPOSITIVENPVDECISIONSARETHEPRIMARYDRIVEROFAFIRMSENTERPRISEVALUEANDSTOCKPRICEASOPPOSEDTOTHEFIRMSCAPITALSTRUCTUREMIXOFDEBTANDEQUITYSECURITIESBASICALLY,THETHEORYOFECONOMICVALUEADDEDRESTSONTWOPRINCIP
16、LEASSERTIONS1ACOMPANYISNOTTRULYPROFITABLEUNLESSITEARNSARETURNONINVESTEDCAPITALTHATEXCEEDSTHEOPPORTUNITYCOSTOFCAPITALAND2THATWEALTHISCREATEDWHENAFIRMSMANAGERSMAKEPOSITIVENPVINVESTMENTSDECISIONSFORTHESHAREHOLDERSWHATEXPANDONTHESEEVATENETSOFWEALTHCREATIONASWEMOVEFORWARDINTHISBOOKFORNOW,LETSLOOKATOPERAT
17、IONALDEFINITIONSOFEVATHATHAVESHAPEDTHECURRENTECONOMICPROFITMOVEMENTASWELLASINTRODUCETHELINKBETWEENACOMPANYSECONOMICPROFITANDITSMARKETVALUEADDEDOPERATIONALDEFINITIONSOFEVATHEREARETWOPOPULAROROPERATIONAL,WAYSOFDEFININGEVANAMELY,ANACCOUNTINGWAYANDAFINANCEFROMANACCOUNTINGPERSPECTIVE,EVAISDEFINEDASTHEDIF
18、FERENCEBETWEENTHEFIRMSNETOPERATINGPROFITAFTERTAXNOPATANDITSWEIGHTEDAVERAGEDOLLARCOSTOFCAPITALASARESULT,EVADIFFERSFROMTRADITIONALACCOUNTINGMEASURESOFCORPORATEPROFITINCLUDING,EBITEARNINGSBEFOREINTERESTANDTAXES,EBITDAEBTTPLUSDEPRECIATIONANDAMORTIZATION,NETINCOME,ANDEVENNOPATBECAUSEITFULLYACCOUNTSFORTHE
19、FIRMSOVERALLCAPITALCOSTSTHISANALYTICALDIFFERENCEISIMPORTANTTOTHEFIRMSOWNERSBECAUSETHEEVAMETICISNETOFBOTHTHEDIRECTCOSTOFDEBTCAPITALANDTHEINDIRECTCOSTOFEQUITYCAPITALASREFLECTEDTHESHAREHOLDERSREQUIREDRETURNONCOMMONSTOCKINTHISCONTEXT,EVACANBEEXPRESSEDINMOREGENERALTERMSASEVANOPATCOSTOFCAPITALINTHISEXPRES
20、SION,THEFIRMSDOLLARCOSTOFCAPITALISCALCULATEDBYMULTIPLYINGTHEPERCENTAGECOSTOFCAPITALBYTHEAMOUNTOFINVESTEDCAPITALACCORDINGTOCOSTOFCAPITALCOSTOFCAPITAL/100CAPITALINTURN,THEPERCENTAGECOSTOFCAPITALISOBTAINEDBYTAKINGAWEIGHTEDAVERAGEOFTHEFIRMSAFTERTAXCOSTOFDEBTANDEQUITYCAPITALASSHOWNBYCOSTOFCAPITALDEBTWEIG
21、HTAFTERTAXDEBTCOSTEQUITYWEIGHTCOSTOFEQUITYEVATHEFINANCEINTERPRETATIONFROMAFINANCEPERSPECTIVE,EVAISDEFINEDINTERMSOFHOWITRELATESTOTHEFIRMSMARKETVALUEADDEDINTHISCONTEXT,MVAORNPVISEQUALTOTHEPRESENTVALUEOFTHEFIRMSEXPECTEDFUTUREEVAADDITIONALLY,SINCEMVAISEQUALTOTHEMARKETVALUEOFTHEFIRMLESSTHEBOOKCAPITALEMPL
22、OYEDINTHEBUSINESS,ITCANEASILYBESHOWNTHATEVAISRELATEDTOTHEINTRINSICVALUEOFTHEFIRMANDITSOUTSTANDINGDEBTANDEQUITYSECURITIESSTATINGTHESECONCEPTSINMOREFORMALTERMSYIELDSTHEFAMILIARVALUEBASEDRELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEFIRMSMARKETVALUEMVAANDEVAGROWTHCONSIDERATIONSTHEBASICEVAANDMVALINKAGEOUTLINEDABOVECANALSOBEEXT
23、ENDEDTOAMULTIPERIODFRAMEWORKWITHOUTGETTINGINTOCOMPLICATEDPRICINGDETAILSHERE,ONECANUSEACONSTANTGROWTHEVAMODELTOSHOWTHEPRICINGIMPORTANCEOFBOTHTHEFIRMSNEARTERMEVAOUTLOOKANDITSLONGTERMEVAGROWTHRATEINDETERMININGOVERALLCORPORATEORENTERPRISEVALUATIONINTHISGORDONLIKEMODEL,THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENTHEFIRMSMVAAN
24、DITSEVAOUTLOOKFORTHEFUTUREISEXPRESSEDASMVAEVA1/COCGEVAINTHISEXPRESSION,EVA1ISTHEFIRMSCURRENTEVAOUTLOOKONEYEARAHEADFORECAST,GEVAISTHEFIRMSASSESSEDLONGTERMEVAGROWTHRATE,ANDCOCISTHEFAMILIALWEIGHTEDCOSTOFDEBTANDEQUITYCAPITALTHECONSTANTGROWTHEVAMODELSHOWSTHATTHEFIRMSMARKETVALUEADDEDMVAISPOSITIVELYRELATED
25、TOITSNEARTERMEVAOUTLOOK,ASMEASUREDBYEVA1,ASWELLASTHEFIRMSASSESSEDLONGTERMEVAGROWTHRATE,GEVAASSHOWN,THEFIRMSMVAISALSONEGATIVELYRELATEDTOANYUNANTICIPATEDCHANGESINTHEWEIGHEDAVERAGECOSTOFDEBTANDEQUITYCAPITAL,COCHOWEVER,INVIEWOFMODERNDAYCAPITALSTRUCTUREPRINCIPLESALAMILLERMODIGLIANI,THISCOSTOFCAPITALINTER
26、PRETATIONDOESNOTIMPLYTHATTHEFIRMSCORPORATEDEBTPOLICYHASANYMEANINGFULIMPACTONTHEVALUATIONOFTHEFIRMANDITSOUTSTANDINGDEBTANDEQUITYSHARESPREVIEWOFWEALTHCREATERSLETSNOWTAKEAPRELIMINARYLOOKATTHEMVAANDEVARELATIONSHIPFORMAJORUSWEALTHCREATORSANDDESTROYERSTHEMVAANDEVACHARACTERISTICSFORFIVELARGEUSWEALTHCREATOR
27、SINCLUDINGGENERALELECTRIC,CISCOSYSTEMS,MICROSOFTCORPORATION,WALMARTSTORES,ANDMERCKFORTHE11YEARPERIODCOVERING1990TO2000ARESHOWNINEXHIBITS12AND13THESELARGECAPITALIZATIONCOMPANIESWERELISTEDBYSTERNSTEWARTCOASTHETOPFIVEUSWEALTHCREATORSBASEDONMVARANKINGINTHEIR2001PERFORMANCEUNIVERSEEXHIBIT12SHOWSTHATWEALT
28、HCREATORSLIKEGENERALELECTRIC,CISCOSYSTEMS,ANDMERCKHAVESUBSTANTIALLYPOSITIVEMVATHATGROWSRAPIDLYOVERTIMEATYEAREND2000,GENERALELECTRICSNETPRESENTVALUEWAS426,616MILLION,WHILECISCOSYSTEMSANDMERCKWEREREPORTINGMVAVALUESOF272,131AND203,689MILLION,RESPECTIVELYDURINGTHE11YEARPERIODSPANNING1990TO2000,GENERALEL
29、ECTRICSNETPRESENTVALUEWASGROWINGATACOMPOUNDYEARLYRATEOFNEARLY34MOREOVER,OVERTHE11YEARREPORTINGPERIOD,CISCOSMVAWASACTUALLYGROWINGATANANNUALIZEDRATEOF86,WHILEMERCKWASREPORTINGARESPECTABLEAVERAGEMVAGROWTHRATEOFABOUT21EXHIBIT12ALSOREVEALSTHATTHEMVAVALUESFORTHETOPFIVEUSWEALTHCREATORSDECLINEDMOSTLYFROMYEA
30、REND1990TO2000FOREXAMPLE,GENERALELECTRICSMVADECLINEDBYABOUT45,000MILLIONOR45BILLIONWHILECISCOSYSTEMSANDWALMARTEACHEXPERIENCEDMVADECLINESOFAROUND76,000MILLIONINDEED,MICROSOFTSMVADECLINEDBYASTAGGERING412,000MILLIONFROM629,470TO217,235MILLIONBETWEEN1999AND2000ASWITHCISCOETAL,THEMVADECLINEFORMICROSOFTWA
31、SDUEINPARTTOTHEGENERALSLOWDOWNINECONOMICACTIVITYESPECIALLYINTHETECHNOLOGYANDTELECOMMUNICATIONINDUSTRIESANDTHUSTHEPRECIPITOUSDECLINEINTHEUSSTOCKMARKETCOMMENCINGINTHEFIRSTHALFOF2000ADDITIONALLY,MICROSOFTSSHARPDECLINEINMVAWASDUETOSERIOUSLEGALCHALLENGESFROMCOMPETITORSARISINGFROMITSALLEGEDBUNDLINGOFSOFTW
32、AREWITHTHEWINDOWSOPERATINGSYSTEMEXHIBIT13SHOWSTHESOURCEOFTHEPOSITIVENETPRESENTVALUEBEINGGENERATEDBYTHEFIVEUSWEALTHCREATORSSHOWNINEXHIBIT12SPECIFICALLY,THISEXHIBITREVEALSTHATWEALTHCREATORSLIKEGENERALELECTRIC,MICROSOFT,ANDMERCKHAVESUBSTANTIALLYPOSITIVEMVABECAUSETHEIREVAISBOTHPOSITIVEANDGROWINGATASUBST
33、ANTIALRATEOVERTIMEAT5,943MILLION,GENERALELECTRICS2000EVAISNOTONLYPOSITIVE,BUTITALSOGREWBY25OVERTHE19902000PERIODWITHMVAANDEVAGROWTHRATESINTHE2030RANGEDURINGTHISDECADE,THETWOEXHIBITSSUGGESTTHATGENERALELECTRICSNETPRESENTVALUELARGELYTRACKEDTHEDIVERSIFIEDCONGLOMERATESEVERRISINGECONOMICVALUEADDEDLIKEWISE
34、,MICROSOFTSTENYEAREVAGROWTHRATE,AT39,SEEMSTOHAVEPROVIDEDTHENECESSARYFUELFORITSABNORMALMVAGROWTHRATE,AT40EXHIBIT12MARKETVALUEADDEDTOPFIVEWEALTHCREATORSINPERFORMANCEUNIVERSE19902000010000020000030000040000050000060000070000019901991199219931994199519961997199819992000YEARMVAGERNERALELECTRICCOCISCOSYST
35、ERMSINCMICROSOFTCORPWALMARTSTORESMERCKCOEXHIBIT13ECONOMICVALUEADDEDTOPFIVEWEALTHCREATORSINPERFORMANCEUNIVERSE1990200010000100020003000400050006000700019901991199219931994199519961997199819992000YEAREVAGERNERALELECTRICCOCISCOSYSTERMSINCMICROSOFTCORPWALMARTSTORESMERCKCOEXHIBIT13ALSOSHOWSTHATCISCOSYSTE
36、MSHADTREMENDOUSGROWTHINITSEVAUPTO1998DURINGTHISPERIOD,THENETWORKINGFIRMSEVAGREWFROMJUST9MILLIONIN1990TO775MILLIONIN1998THISREPRESENTSANASTONISHINGEVAGROWTHRATEOF90THAT,INTURN,ISJOINEDWITHCISCOSMVAGROWTHRATEOF100ONTHEOTHERHAND,CISCOSEVAPEAKEDAT775MILLIONIN1998,THENDECLINEDTO182MILLIONIN1999,ANDACTUAL
37、LYTURNEDNEGATIVEIN2000,AT365MILLIONINTERESTINGLY,CISCOWASAPPARENTLYOVERVALUEDIN1999ASITSMVAPEAKEDAT348,442DURINGTHATYEARINTHEPRESENCEOFITSFALLINGEVACISCOCONTINUEDITSMVADECLINEIN2000WITHTHEMAJORSELLOFFINTECHNOLOGYSTOCKSTOENDTHEYEARAT272,131MILLIONTHUS,TAKENTOGETHER,THEMVAANDEVARELATIONSHIPSSHOWNINEXH
38、IBITS12AND13ARENOTONLYBENEFICIALINDESCRIBINGTHEFINANCIALCHARACTERISTICSOFWEALTHCREATORS,BUTEXHIBITSLIKETHESECANBEUSEDTOASSISTINTHEDISCOVERYOFMISPRICEDSECURITIESSOURCEJAMESLAWRENCEGRANT,2002FOUNDATIONSOFECONOMICVALUEADDEDWILEYPP110二、翻译文章译文经济增加值的基本原理EVA革命在市场经济下,许多公司都会创造财富。然而,毫无疑问的是另一些企业出现了亏损。所以,发现那些导致
39、财富增加和损失的经济因素对于相关人员,不只是对于法人代表和投资经理人来说,都是十分重要的。对于经营者来说,财富的创造是企业得以幸存的经济基础,而一些经营者不接受(或拒绝)承认在开放经济下这一原则的重要性对于组织机构和事业是十分危险的。对于投资者来说,在市场上寻找“最好”的公司和产业是头等重要的事。利用适当的财务工具,投资组合经理可能提高他们的营运能力,使得在引入相同风险的被动策略的情况下,其回报高于有效回报。现在,有一种叫做EVA的新的分析工具正在帮助企业发现财富。这一创新的改革使得这种财务指标被引入公司理财和投资管理这两个领域,这就推动了我们原来所谓的“EVA革命”的产生。EVA在实践中的应
40、用这种被叫做EVA的分析工具,即经济增加值,在1982年被由JOELSTERN和GBENNETTSTEWART组成的公司咨询团队提出,并在商业上得到发展。因为这种财务指标以一种创新的方式看待企业的真正利益,所以它在早期就被社会团体所接受。不像传统的利润度量标准,例如EBIT、EBITDA和营业净利EVA着眼于公司扣除了债务资本的直接成本和权益资本的间接成本之后的“剩余收益”,就这样,因为EVA与股东财富最大化的要求保持一致,它成了当代衡量企业成功的指标。一些像COCACOCA,DIAGEA,LILLYELI,GUIDANT和SPX那样的大公司已经将EVA作为了为股东创造经济价值的一个指标。在这
41、些公司里,奖金和工资的激励机制迎合了管理者的能力(或缺乏能力),使得公司的经营部门形成正向的经济增加值。积极地薪酬管理归功于经营者拥有区域性的经营利润,该利润总的来说超过了有关的“资本成本”,然而,消极的奖金可能引起长期的各地区的经营利润低于全部的资本成本。因此,通过对负债成本和权益资本进行计算,EVA给了经营者一个能像股东一样做出公司的投资决策的机会。EVA在投资团体中也很受欢迎。1996年6月在第一波士顿召开的“经济附加值”会议和1997年5月高盛投资公司关于EVA研究的讲座证明了这一人可喜的发展。的确,一些华尔街的慈善机构例如环球资产管理公司和奥本海默资本公司将EVA用于选股、投资组合构
42、建和风险控制程序。另外一些大的投资公司开始进行认真的研究,并且指出EVA对于全球绩效分析有着重要的意义。此外,近期在投资组合管理杂志(在财经和投资期刊中较有名)上的实证研究表明了EVA在学术界和财经界的进步。EVA的进化论经济利润的演变经济增加值(EVA)是一项拥有历史根源的、令人着迷的研究,它可以追溯到古典经济学家关于“剩余收益”的概念。例如,考虑到1890年,英国著名的经济学家ALFREDMARSHALL提出的经济利益的概念,他重新定义了企业所有者获得的利润的真正含义“剩余的收入扣除在当期利率下资本的利息才是他经营管理所得的收入。”以MASHALL的理论为基础,显然,经济学家对于利润的定义
43、换句话说,收入或经济利润剩余价值的观点与现在使用的会计计量利润的方法在根本上存在很大的差异,比如EBIT、EBITDA、或者营业净利。这就是经济利润和会计利润之间最主要的差别,原因在于古典经济学家认为,除非公司的收益超过了经营企业日常的生产和经营费用,并且投资资金有一个正常的回报,否则公司并不是真正有利可图的。在一个更基本的理论当中,这一剩余收益的观点就是当今经济利润的动向。当EVA的概念扎根于古典经济理论之上时,20世纪美国出现了三位思想先进的经济学家20世纪30年代的IRVINGFISHER,20世纪50年代末到60年代初的NOBELLAUREATESFRANCOMODIGLIANI和ME
44、RTONMILLER对企业价值评估做了更深入的研究。IRVINGFISHER建立了净现值和预期现金流的贴现数据之间的基本联系。相反的,MODIGLIANI和MILLER指出了公司的投资决策作为积极的NPV决策的证明是企业价值和股票价格的最重要的推动力由债务和有价证券组合而成的公司资本结构截然相反。一般来说,经济增加值的理论基于两个基本主张(1)除非公司所获得的投资回报超过了资金的机会成本,否则公司不能算是真正盈利。(2)财富是企业经营者在为股东作了正确的NPV投资决策的时产生的。我们在这本书中增加了那些EVA财富创造的原则。如今,让我们看一下EVA的经验定义,它形成了当前经济利润的动向,同时也
45、介绍了公司的经济利益和市场增加值之间的联系。EVA的操作定义定义EVA有两种常用的操作方法也就是说,一种是会计方法,另一种是财务方法。从会计的角度来看,EVA与税后净利润(NOPAT)和美元的加权平均资本的定义方法是不同的。因此,EVA不同于公司利润的传统会计计量,包括EBIT(息税前利润)、EBITDA(息税前利润加上折旧和摊销)、净利润,甚至是税后经营业利润,因为它占了公司全部的资本成本。这一分析上的不同对于公司所有者来说是非常重要的,因为EVA指标扣除了债务成本的直接成本和权益资本的间接成本因为它将股东的要求反映到了普通股上。在这种情形下,EVA可以被表达成更简单的公式例如经济增加值税后
46、净利润美元资本成本在这个表达式中,公司的美元资本成本通过乘以资本成本所占的比例来计算,大量的投资资本根据美元资本成本资本成本率/100资本反过来,资本成本率的获得是通过将公司税后借贷成本“加权平均”,公式表示如下资本成本率债务权重税后债务成本率股权权重股权成本率EVA财务解释从财务角度定义,EVA被定义为怎样与公司的“市场增加值”产生联系的指标。在这种情况下,MVA或NPV等于公司预期未来EVA的现值。此外,由于MVA等于公司的市场价值少于商业上被雇佣的“账面资本”,它可以轻而易举地表明EVA与公司本质的价值、未偿付的债务和普通股的有价证券有关。在更正式的条款下说明这些概念产生了公司市场价值之
47、间常见的以价值为基础的关系。EVA和MVA增长的考虑基本的EVA和MVA的结合可以扩展到一个多阶段的结构。在这里且不谈复杂的定价的细节,你可以采用“恒量增长”的EVA模型来显示双方的定价对于公司近期EVA的展望和它的长期EVA增长率决定全体法人(或企业)价值的重要性。在这个“GORDONLIKE”模型下,公司的MVA和它的EVA之间的关系对未来的展望表现为市场增加值EVA1/COCGEVA在这个表达式中,EVA1是对公司现在的EVA的展望(未来一年预测,GEVA是公司对长期EVA增长率的评估,COC是加权债务和权益资本。恒量增长的EVA模型表明,公司的市场增加值(MVA)明确地说明了它对短期E
48、VA的展望,通过测量EVA(1),同时,公司评估长期EVA的增长率,GEVA。如图所示,公司的MVA与资本的加权平均成本(债务和权益)、COC中任何未预料到的变化呈现负相关,然而,在现代资本结构原理的观点下ALAMILLERMODIGLIANI,该“资本成本”的解释并不意味着公司的债务政策对公司和它显著的负债和普通股权的评估有任何有意义的影响。财富创造者的预演现在,让我们初步地看一下对于美国主要的财富创造者和毁灭者,MVA和EVA的关系。对于美国五大财富创造者来说,MVA和EVA的特征包括通用电气公司,思科系统、微软公司、沃尔玛超市和默克公司在1990年到2000年这11年里显示了图12和13
49、这些大型的资本化公司被斯坦斯图尔特CO列出。和2001年绩效领域美国名列前五的财富创造者(根据MVA的排名)排名一样。图12显示财富的创造者像通用汽车、思科系统和默克公司在过去的时间里,实质的积极的MVA增长迅速。到2000年末,通用汽车的净现值为426616亿美元,但是思科系统和默克公司报告的MVA价值分别为272131美元和203689美元。在横跨1990年到2000年的11年里,通用汽车的净现值是复合增长的,年增长率近34。此外,过了这11年报告期,思科的MVA实际上以86的年度增长率增长,但是默克公司报道了一个让人敬佩的平均增长率约为21。图12也揭露了1990年至2000年美国排名前五的财富创造者的MVA价值多半降下降。例如,通用汽车的MVA下降到大约450亿美元,同时思科系统和沃尔玛各自经历了MVA下降到大约760亿美元。甚至,从1999年到2000年,微软的MVA以一个惊人的速度从62947美元下降到4120亿美元。正如思科等公司,微软MVA的下降的部分原因是一般经济活动的的减速特别是在科学及时和电信产业并且因此从2000年的上半年开始美国股票市场大幅度衰落。此外,微软MVA的急剧下降是由于严重的法律挑战使得竞争对手在它所