发展中国家1985-1998年工业制成品出口的技术【外文翻译】.doc

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1、本科毕业论文外文翻译外文题目THETECHNOLOGICALSTRUCTUREANDPERFORMANCEOFDEVELOPINGCOUNTRYMANUFACTUREDEXPORTS,19851998出处OXFORDDEVELOPMENTSTUDIES,VOL28,NO3,2000作者LALLSANJAYA原文THETECHNOLOGICALSTRUCTUREANDPERFORMANCEOFDEVELOPINGCOUNTRYMANUFACTUREDEXPORTS,198519981TECHNOLOGYANDDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEWHATI

2、STHEECONOMICRATIONALEFORANALYZINGTHETECHNOLOGICALSTRUCTUREOFDEVELOPINGCOUNTRYEXPORTSTHATTECHNOLOGYPLAYSASIGNIFICANTROLEINTHETRADEPATTERNSOFADVANCEDINDUSTRIALCOUNTRIESISWIDELYACCEPTEDWHATNEEDSEXPLAININGISWHYITISIMPORTANTINDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESMOSTCONVENTIONALTRADETHEORYASSUMESTHATTECHNOLOGICALACTIVITYP

3、LAYSNOROLEINTHECOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEOFDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIES,ANDTHATTHEMAINDETERMINANTSREMAINRELATIVEFACTORENDOWMENTSDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESAREASSUMEDTOBETECHNOLOGICALFOLLOWERS,IMPORTINGINNOVATIONSFROMDEVELOPEDCOUNTRIESANDUSINGTHEMPASSIVELYINTERNATIONALTECHNOLOGYMARKETSARETAKENTOBEEFFICIENTFIRMSINDEVELOPING

4、COUNTRIESCANFIND,SELECT,BUYANDTRANSFERTHETECHNOLOGIESTHEYNEEDWITHOUTADDITIONALCOSTAPARTFROMTHELEGITIMATEPRICEOFTHETECHNOLOGYOREQUIPMENTOREFFORTMOREIMPORTANTLY,ONCETHEYIMPORTTHETECHNOLOGY,THEYCANUSEITEFFICIENTLY,AGAINWITHOUTEXTRACOSTOREFFORTTHEREISNODIFFERENCE,INOTHERWORDS,BETWEENCAPACITYPHYSICALPLAN

5、T,EQUIPMENTORBLUEPRINTSANDCAPABILITYTHEABILITYTOUSETHESEEFFICIENTLYCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGETHENDEPENDSENTIRELYONFACTORENDOWMENTS,ANDANYATTEMPTTOCHANGETHISAPARTFROMPROVIDINGTHECONDITIONSFORFASTERACCUMULATIONOFFACTORSISBYASSUMPTIONINEFFICIENTTHUS,ALLGOVERNMENTSHAVETODOTOOPTIMIZECOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEIS“GETP

6、RICESRIGHT”SOTHATFIRMSWILLSELECTTHETECHNIQUESAPPROPRIATETOTHEIRFACTORPRICESCONSIDERABLEFIRMLEVELRESEARCHUNDERTHEBROADHEADINGOF“TECHNOLOGICALCAPABILITY”ANALYSISSUGGESTSTHATTHISAPPROACHISOVERSIMPLIFIEDANDFOCUSESONTHEWRONGDETERMINANTSOFCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGETHECAPABILITYAPPROACHGIVESADIFFERENTDEPICTIONOF

7、HOWFIRMSBECOMETECHNICALLYEFFICIENT,ANDLEADSTODIFFERENTPOLICYCONCLUSIONSTHISLITERATUREREVIEWEDBYLALL,2000SHOWSTHATTHEREISASIGNIFICANTDIFFERENCEBETWEEN“CAPACITY”AND“CAPABILITY”FIRMSINDEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESOPERATEWITHIMPERFECTKNOWLEDGEOFTECHNOLOGICALALTERNATIVESFINDINGTECHNOLOGIESISADIFFICULT,OFTENCOSTLY,

8、PROCESSONCETECHNOLOGYISIMPORTED,ITSEFFICIENTUSEREQUIRESCREATINGNEWSKILLSANDKNOWLEDGETOMASTERITSTACITELEMENTSTACITELEMENTSVARYGREATLYBYTECHNOLOGYINSOMEACTIVITIESTHELEARNINGPROCESSISCOSTLY,PROLONGED,RISKYANDUNPREDICTABLEANDINVOLVESSERIOUSEXTERNALITIESANDCOORDINATIONPROBLEMSSKILLSANDTECHNOLOGY“LEAK”OUT

9、TOOTHERFIRMS,ORTHEREISCOLLECTIVELEARNINGBETWEENFIRMSINOTHERS,THEPROCESSISRELATIVELYEASY,SHORTANDPREDICTABLE,WITHNEGLIGIBLEEXTERNALITIESWHILEALLLEARNINGCANFACEMARKETFAILURESTHATPREVENT,CURTAILORDISTORTIT,THEEXTENTANDSPREADOFFAILURESVARYSIGNIFICANTLYBYACTIVITYPOLICIESTOCORRECTTHEFAILURESTHUSHAVETOVARY

10、BYACTIVITYMOREDIFFICULTTECHNOLOGIESTENDTOCALLFORGREATERINTERVENTIONTOHELPFIRMSOVERCOMELEARNINGCOSTSANDCOORDINATIONPROBLEMSTHECAPABILITYAPPROACHSUGGESTSTHATCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEDEPENDSMOREONTHENATIONALABILITYTOMASTERANDUSETECHNOLOGIESTHANONFACTORENDOWMENTSINTHEUSUALSENSEGIVENTHEMARKETFAILURESFACINGCAP

11、ABILITYBUILDING,THISINTURNDEVOLVESTOONEORBOTHOFTWOTHINGSTHATIMPROVETECHNOLOGICALLEARNINGTHEFIRSTISGOVERNMENTPOLICIESTOOVERCOMETHEFAILURESINLEARNINGINDOMESTICFIRMSTHESECONDISTHEATTRACTIONOFFDITHATBRINGSINNEWTECHNOLOGIESANDISBETTERABLETOOVERCOMETHEMARKETFAILURESINVOLVEDINDEPLOYINGTHEMTHELATTEROPTIONMA

12、YITSELFREQUIRESELECTIVEPOLICIESTOOVERCOMEFAILURESINTHEFDIPROCESSITSELFMOREOVER,THETWOSOURCESOFCAPABILITYBUILDINGCOMPLEMENTEACHOTHERWHENMOREADVANCEDACTIVITIESAREINVOLVEDFDIINCOMPLEXACTIVITIESANDFUNCTIONSNEEDSADVANCEDDOMESTICCAPABILITIESINTHISAPPROACH,THEREFORE,PATTERNSOFCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEBETWEENDEV

13、ELOPINGCOUNTRIESVARYACCORDINGTONATIONALPOLICIESFORTECHNOLOGICALLEARNINGANDTECHNOLOGYIMPORT,EVENIFTHEYHAVESIMILAR“ENDOWMENTS”OFLABOR,CAPITALORSKILLSTRADITIONALTHEORIESOFCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEMAYBERELEVANTINCASESWHERETHEIRASSUMPTIONSCONFORMTOTHESPECIFICCONDITIONSOFCAPABILITYBUILDINGINGIVENINDUSTRIESANDL

14、OCATIONS,NOTASGENERALRULESFORINSTANCE,HECKSCHEROHLINHOFACTORPRICERATIOSCANAFFECTTRADEPATTERNSINACTIVITIESINWHICHTECHNOLOGICALCONDITIONSAPPROXIMATEPERFECTCOMPETITION,IENOSCALEECONOMIES,UNIVERSALLYAVAILABLETECHNOLOGIESANDEASYLEARNINGTHESEAPPLYTOSIMPLELABORINTENSIVETECHNOLOGIESWHERESMALLFIRMSCANMAKEUND

15、IFFERENTIATEDPRODUCTS,EASILYMASTERINGTHETECHNOLOGIESINVOLVEDUNDERTHESECONDITIONS,RELATIVEWAGEDIFFERENCESPERSEBECOMEANIMPORTANTCOMPETITIVEFACTORHOWEVER,THISREPRESENTSONEENDOFTHETECHNOLOGICALSPECTRUMITDOESNOTMEANTHATHOASSUMPTIONSAREGENERALIZABLEACROSSTHEINDUSTRIALSECTORTHEREARETWOOTHERIMPORTANTPOINTSO

16、NEXPORTSTRUCTURESFIRST,DIFFERENTEXPORTSTRUCTURESHAVEDIFFERENTIMPLICATIONSFORGROWTHANDEFFECTSONDOMESTICINDUSTRIALDEVELOPMENTTECHNOLOGYINTENSIVESTRUCTURESOFFERBETTERPROSPECTSFORFUTUREGROWTHBECAUSETHEIRPRODUCTSTENDTOGROWFASTERINTRADETHEYTENDTOBEHIGHLYINCOMEELASTIC,CREATENEWDEMANDANDSUBSTITUTEFASTERFORO

17、LDERPRODUCTSTHISISWHYHIGHTECHNOLOGYINDUSTRIESWITHININDUSTRIALANDSEMIINDUSTRIALCOUNTRIESAREGROWINGFASTERTHANOTHERINDUSTRIESTHEYALSOHAVEGREATERPOTENTIALFORFURTHERLEARNINGBECAUSETHEYOFFERMORESCOPEFORAPPLYINGNEWSCIENTIFICKNOWLEDGETHEYHAVELARGERSPILLOVEREFFECTSINTERMSOFCREATINGNEWSKILLSANDGENERICKNOWLEDG

18、ETHATCANBEUSEDINOTHERACTIVITIESGUERRIERIIFTHEYWERE,COUNTRIESWOULDNOTNEEDTOWORRYABOUTWHICHSTRUCTURETHEYHADINTHECAPABILITYAPPROACH,STRUCTURESARE,WHILECERTAINLYNOTRIGID,PATHDEPENDENTANDDIFFICULTTOCHANGETHEYARETHEOUTCOMEOFLONG,CUMULATIVEPROCESSESOFLEARNING,AGGLOMERATION,INSTITUTIONBUILDINGANDBUSINESSCUL

19、TUREMOVINGFROMALOWTECHNOLOGYSTRUCTURETOAHIGHTECHNOLOGYONEISTHUSDIFFICULT,ANDMAYINVOLVEABROADANDINTEGRATEDSETOFPOLICYINTERVENTIONSREDDING,1999RODRIK,1996ITISTHEREFOREIMPORTANTFORANALYTICALANDPOLICYPURPOSESTOEXAMINENATIONALEXPORTSTRUCTURES,PARTICULARLYTOSEEHOWQUICKLYTHEYHAVECHANGEDOVERTIME2、TECHNOLOGI

20、CALSTRUCTUREOFEXPORTSPRIMARYPRODUCTSANDSPECIALTRANSACTIONS,EXCLUDEDCOMPLETELYBELOWDONOTNEEDMUCHANALYSISINTERMSOFTHETECHNOLOGICALBASISOFCOMPARATIVEADVANTAGEWITHINMANUFACTUREDEXPORTS,THETECHNOLOGICALCATEGORIESANDSUBCATEGORIESAREASFOLLOWSRESOURCEBASEDRBPRODUCTSTENDTOBESIMPLEANDLABORINTENSIVEEGSIMPLEFOO

21、DORLEATHERPROCESSING,BUTTHEREARESEGMENTSUSINGCAPITAL,SCALEANDSKILLINTENSIVETECHNOLOGIESEGPETROLEUMREFININGORMODERNPROCESSEDFOODSSINCECOMPETITIVEADVANTAGESINTHESEPRODUCTSARISESGENERALLYBUTNOTALWAYSFROMTHELOCALAVAILABILITYOFNATURALRESOURCES,THEYDONOTRAISEIMPORTANTISSUESFORCOMPETITIVENESSHOWEVER,THESEG

22、MENTSWITHSKILLANDTECHNOLOGYINTENSIVETECHNOLOGIESDORAISEIMPORTANTCOMPETITIVENESSISSUESWEDRAWADISTINCTIONBETWEENRB1,AGRICULTUREBASEDPRODUCTSANDRB2,OTHERSLOWTECHNOLOGYLTPRODUCTSTENDTOHAVESTABLE,WELLDIFFUSEDTECHNOLOGIESTHETECHNOLOGIESAREPRIMARILYEMBODIEDINTHECAPITALEQUIPMENTTHELOWENDOFTHERANGEHASRELATIV

23、ELYSIMPLESKILLREQUIREMENTSMANYTRADEDPRODUCTSAREUNDIFFERENTIATEDANDCOMPETEONPRICETHUS,LABORCOSTSTENDTOBEAMAJORELEMENTOFCOSTINCOMPETITIVENESSSCALEECONOMIESANDBARRIERSTOENTRYAREGENERALLYLOWTHEFINALMARKETGROWSSLOWLY,WITHINCOMEELASTICITYSBELOWUNITYHOWEVER,THEREAREEXCEPTIONSTOTHESEFEATURESTHEREAREPARTICUL

24、ARLOWTECHNOLOGYPRODUCTSINHIGHQUALITYSEGMENTSWHEREBRANDNAMES,SKILLS,DESIGNANDTECHNOLOGICALSOPHISTICATIONAREVERYIMPORTANT,EVENIFTECHNOLOGYINTENSITYDOESNOTREACHTHELEVELSOFOTHERCATEGORIESWESHOULDNOTETHATPRODUCTSOFMAJORINTERESTTODEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESTENDTOBEINTHELOWERQUALITYSEGMENTS,ANDAREREALLYBASEDONSIMP

25、LETECHNOLOGIESANDPRICERATHERTHANQUALITYCOMPETITIONMEDIUMTECHNOLOGYMTPRODUCTS,COMPRISINGTHEBULKOFSKILLANDSCALEINTENSIVETECHNOLOGIESINCAPITALGOODSANDINTERMEDIATEPRODUCTS,ARETHEHEARTLANDOFINDUSTRIALACTIVITYINMATUREECONOMIESTHEYTENDTOHAVECOMPLEXTECHNOLOGIES,WITHMODERATELYHIGHLEVELSOFRRODRIK,1996因此,基于审查国

26、家出口结构的分析和中策目的非常重要,尤其是在观测一段时间内的变化方面二、产品出口的技术结构在建立检验出口结构表格的情况下,来考虑产品的分类。这些数据不能对技术层面面面俱到。初级产品(及特殊交易,下面完全排除)不需要在比较优势的技术基础上多分析。在工业制成品出口方面,技术类别和子类别如下基于资源的产品(RB)是倾向于简单技术和劳动密集型产品(例如简单食品和皮革加工),但是它们的一部分利用资本、规模经济和技能密集型技术(例如石油提炼或者现代加工产品),来自当地的天然资源供应的竞争优势在通常情况下是上升的,但并不总是这样,他们不提高竞争力的重要问题。然而,拥有技能技术密集型生产技术的部分能够提升进口

27、竞争力。低技术含量(LC)产品倾向于拥有稳定的技术扩散的产品。这些技术主要体现在资本设备;低端领域的技能要求相对简单。许多贸易产品是未分化的,体现在价格方面的竞争因此,劳动成本成为竞争成本中的主要因素。规模经济和进入壁垒普遍偏低,最终市场增长缓慢,收入弹性低于整体弹性。但也有例外,即使技术密集度达不到其他类别的水平,拥有高质量部分的特定的技术产品在产品品牌,技术,设计和技术成熟方面是非常重要的。我们应当注意到发展中国家的利润主要来自于低质量部分,主要依赖简单技术和价格优势而不是质量竞争。中等技术(MT)产品,包括大量包含技能规模密集型技术的资本产品和中间产品,它是成熟经济体工业活动的中心地带,往往具有复杂的技术,适度的高水平的溢出效应,先进的技术需求和冗长的学习期限。在工程和汽车分组的联系是非常紧密的,企业之间需要长期互动以便达到“最佳实践”的技术效率。高技术(HT)产品拥有先进和快速转换的技术,很高的投资溢出效应,主要注重产品设计。最先进的技术要求最先进的技术技能,企业与企业之间,企业与国家以及研究机构之间要有最紧密的互动,像一些电子产品最后的组装是劳动密集型的,其高价值与重量的比例使其将这部分劳动放在低工资地区,这些生产活动导致了新的国际一体化生产系统,跨国公司基于生产成本而在生产的不同阶段选择不同的区位。

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