博士论文答辩-IPPC.ppt

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1、Risk Assessment in China assisted by GIS,Xu YanInstitute of Animal and Plant Quarantine, Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, AQSIQ, ChinaXu RumeiCollege of Biological Science, Beijing Normal University, ChinaOctober 24-28, 2005, Niagara Falls, Canada,Outlines,IntroductionMethods and Data P

2、reparationResults and AnalysisApplications and Future,This study is supported by:,State Key Basic Research and Development Plan (973 project) : The ecological impact of biologicalinvasion and eco-safety, 2000-2005, (G2000046803)AQSIQ Scientific and Research Project: Study on phytosanitary policy mak

3、ing assisted by geographic information system,Importance of using GIS,China has a large area and several climatic zones, GIS can play an important role in suitability analysis and endangered areasMost demandingApplied widelyProvide scientific support for national policy making,2 Methods and Data Pre

4、paration,SoftwareAttribute DatabasesGIS Map DatabasesData transfer between CLIMEX and GIS,Software,CLIMEX for Windows Version 1.1bGIS ArcInfo Version 8.0.1 ArcView GIS 3.2 with Spatial Analysis MapInfo Professional Version 6.0DatabaseMicrosoft Access 2000 Microsoft Excel 2000,Attribute Database,Pest

5、 DataIntercepted DataClimatic dataCrop DataCustom Data,Climatic data,1980-1998 daily climatic data4247570 records 1950-1980 yearly average dataCRU 0.5 X 0.5 grid data (http:/ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/),3 Results and Analysis,Medfly (Ceratitis capitata)Pine wood nematodeBemisia tabaci Biotype BBactrocer

6、a tryoniPopillia japonicaEpiphyas postvittanaLissorhoptrus oryzophilusThrips palmiBactrocera dorsalis,Medfly (Ceratitis capitata),4 Models of Greenhouse effect in CLIMEX: 05,1,2,01 with increasingly greenhouse effect,the percentage of the suitable area for Medfly to total area of China are 26.8%、28.

7、9、30.4、33.7、38.1. Its north limits of suitable area will go further north with the development of greenhouse.,4 Models of Greenhouse effect in CLIMEX,Using GIS to analyzing the suitability of PWN,Mamiya think that yearly average temperature (YAT) is an important indexes for the suitability of PWN YA

8、T 14,outbreak,4 Application and Future,Applications3S (GIS, GPS and RS) Lab setup in 2004 in the Institute of Animal and Plant Quarantine,The End,Dr. Xu YanInstitute of Animal and Plant QuarantineChinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, AQSIQ241 Hui Xin Li, Chaoyang District, 100029, Beijing, ChinaEmail: ; xu_,

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